Australians have a new government: will the US lose an ally?

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I could never imagine ever voting for the "Labour" Party regardless of the country or issues involved. I am a non-believer in socialism or redistribution schemes of any kind. In the USA where I've lived my entire life, I've never once voted for a Democrat. The primaries haven't even started and Hillary Clinton has all but been declared the nominee of the Democrats. Yes, that's what they wrote about Howard Dean four years ago.

Good luck with your romances Jack. We all need physical and emotional love.

Very intriguing. France becomes an ally and Australia may exit...and America may falter...

It's a good thing my faith resides outside of politics.

No, I don't think the US will lose an ally. Rudd has in fact kept the door open to allies in the US, Europe and elsewhere to work together.

What did Howard in in the end was not so much the ALP's savvy campaigning; it was Howard's own wedge-politics that Aussies have had a gutful of. Howard has been a most divisive leader almost in the ilk as Dubya's "if you're not with us, you're against us" sort of style.

Increasingly, he forgot that in a robust democracy, people can disagree but that doesn't mean that they love or care for Australia any less.

And the same goes in foreign policy matters, too. Allies can and should disagree, and there should be no fear about expressing deeply-thought opinions without dragging any strategic alliance into disrepute. Iraq, the so-called WOT and Guantanamo Bay are prime examples of what many of us felt very iffy about... but we weren't respected or listened to. Last night's election result spoke volumes about that mass anger and frustration at not being heard on those very issues.

Aussies generally don't come across as hoity-toity, uber-chic citizens of the world... and I don't mean any disrespect at all in saying this. But unsophisticated hicks we ain't. Once more, this evening's election result underscored just that.

Thanks, Ninja. It’s far better to get a viewpoint from the country itself than my brief contact with the General Election. In any case, I wish Australians all the best.
Zak and Randy, if Ninja is right then the US may still have an ally in Australia. I will say I was underwhelmed with Mr Rudd’s first speech as the Prime Minister-elect last night: the first half of it was diplomatic say-nothingness, though he finally got in to policy areas after that. (Whether Mr Howard did the same thing in previous elections I do not know.)
Ninja, do you also think the electorate may have felt that Mr Howard had stolen earlier elections? I remember some visiting Aussies here during the campaign before this felt that he was being pretty dishonest on the immigration issues and should not have got in if both sides had had a sense of fairness and truth.

I wouldn't want to be an Iraqi living there should the Democratic Party win the Presidency and both houses in Congress. They have a history of ditching America's allies.

Some overseas Chinese are still sore about Harry Truman …

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It is interesting to see the shift that already occurred in Europe -- namely with France and Germany. They are now firmly more with America in the fight against terrorism.

Suicide bombers are only "so called" Terrorists? The Islamic Totalitarians have declared war on the entire world. It is a proven fact that they seek to destroy anyone whom won't tow their line and live by their rules. They have created a culture of self-immolation and have turned their so-called moral pronouncements into a sick joke.

Yes, and even the polls in New Zealand indicate a potential rightward shift, though just what the difference between John Key, who agrees with everything Labour does (supporting anti-satire rules, passing an unconstitutional ex post facto campaign funding law, not speaking out against the unpopular terror raids), and Helen Clark is beyond me.

No they're not pretend terrorists. They're real alright. But here's where semantics is important. The "so-called" bit is all about creating a global climate of fear that continues to perpetuate a siege mentality to the exclusion of everything else that's valuable and worth living for. Not everybody want sot fight a war with no end. Not everyone is out to get anyone. But the war mongers and trigger happy crowd will happily see this continue at all and any cost. That's important to highlight. Australians have spoken loud and clear that this is not the way to win the peace.

The second point to highlight is that years of collective foreign policy tilt towards marginalising (instead of engaging in talks and discussions) great swathes of the Muslim world have resulted in the terror cells we're now confronting. These guys didn't show up on 9/11. They were goaded and seeded into taking those extreme positions when their views weren't given the time of day. Zak, at the end of the day, it does come down to mutual respect anmd treating each other as you would yourself.

Some people might say (and that's ok, we all have opinions) that you cannot talk to some loonies out there. But before we get to that point, we have to make a fair shake of it first before picking up a rifle. A lot of the latter has happened in the years leading up to 9/11. That's why until we make the effort to reach out, we're not going to see the end of this armed conflict.

Absolutely. The Tampa/Children Overboard incident just before the 2004 election when a boatload of middle eastern refugees were shipped off to Nauru instead stands out. Then opposition leader Kim Beazley, up to that point, had polled well enough to have knocked Howard out. Howard milked the security issue for what it was and scared people into voting him back in. Fear has been a tool used often by Howard over the years.

This year, we saw Howard pick on our Indigenous Australian communities in the outback by sending in troops to quell the mass social dysfunctions there. You couldn't be a more polarising leader when you choose to use your own military's resources against your own people.

Also, this year, we saw Howard try to use the race card by marginalising refugees from the Sudan by saying that they were not assimilating into Australian society. Howard did this with the Muslims since 9/11 and Asians in the lead-up to his 1996 election victory.

And, not to forget, he waged war in our workplaces by stripping away entitlements such as overtime pay, sick leave allowances etc through his workplace "reforms".

In short Jack, Howard's very negative and cynical politicking trod on the average Aussie once too often. Last night, the people stood up and said "No more".

Israel won its right to exist on the battlefield. The outright hatred the Islamic nations still harbor is poison, which is actually destroying Islamic society. The powerful elites from Syria to Iran use this hatred to oppress their own people. In an ideal world where their society actually desired peace, prosperity and freedom the Middle East would enjoy both peace and a rising standard of living. Without revenue from petroleum these countries would be as poverty stricken as Ethiopia or Chad.

When someone is out to kill you, as they are hell bent to destroy Israel, then all the diplomacy is moot. America is still the land of opportunity where entrepreneurs make dreams into reality; to some the World Trade Center twin towers represented a symbol of this dream. Dreamers do exist in the Islamic world as Dubai sets an example. The terror cells are the result of the war that the governments in the Middle East conduct against people whether they are Muslim, Jewish, Christian or agnostic. War in the Middle East is hardly a new occurrence; the west must never surrender to terrorists.
Good luck in your endeavours Zak.
Current events are just part of the human condition. The only thing that we have any control over are our own thoughts. Relationships are an important part of life but we have no control over others only how we act and react to them. It's never good to bargain in bad faith. May you find success and happiness too.
The Australian Labor Party is being entirely consistent in that it has been opposed to the invasion of Iraq since day one. If the conditions for being an ally are that this country must slavishly follow the wishes of George W. Bush, then the U.S. has indeed lost an ally. That is for the U.S. to decide.

I read and re-read this several times, and I don't think you responded to what Ninja actually said. For one thing, he used "so-called" in reference to the War on Terror, not to the terrorists or 9/11. He also suggested that the divisive, "us versus them" mentality is making the situation worse, while an attitude of mutual respect might help. Other than your suggestion that we can't control how others act toward us (which, of course, we can to some extent. I used to have a boyfriend who would tell me that he couldn't control my reactions, that my reactions and feelings were my own responsibility. In other words, he had no desire to stop cheating on me; he just wanted me to stop being upset by it), you haven't really responded to his arguments. Instead, you offer up a short-sighted and ideologically limited view of history (as if every issue in the Middle East stems from hatred of Israel) and the unrelated message that America is still the "land of opportunity."

Are military victories the only victories with moral legitimacy? If China or someone came to America and conquered us and continued to demonstrate its military might over us, would you accept their claims to our nation as legitimate and morally correct? Or, as you accuse all non-Jewish residents of the Middle East of doing, might you hold a wee grudge and want your traditional homeland back? I don't know--I doubt most Americans would just roll over and accept the conquering power. We tend to only accept the conquering power when that power is us, or our ally. Maybe if we were distracted by a special 2-hour episode of American Idol or something.

We tinker about with the Middle East (and Central America) at our will. Do you think they should just enjoy it, or do you think maybe it would make you mad if another government did it to us? Do you not think that American support of Saddam Hussein during the Iran-Iraq War and our support of the Taliban during the Soviet era had anything to do with the current troubles?

I saw that you're a member of the libertarians Vox group. Are you a libertarian? And if so, aren't you somewhat bothered by the evisceration of our civil liberties that has gone in the name of security, particularly since so many of these regulations and procedures are of extremely dubious aid to security? I'm pretty bothered by it, personally. It is true that totalitarian nations are generally safer, but that's not a trade I am willing to make.

The USwon't lose an ally, but there may be a subtle shift in policy. In the end though, the parties are barely distinguishable, so I wouldn't be too surprised if they quickly find reasons why Australia can't withdraw troops just yet...
Are you Ninja's attorney? I'm a registered Libertarian in Arizona. I'm a cheap bastard if I ran things most of what government does would be either privatized or abolished.

I think I'll back up what both Snowy and Ninja are saying, and also just highlight that the current contribution of Australian military forces to Iraq is actually quite small anyway, mainly looking after our diplomatic staff. In fact I'm pretty sure one of the US commanders said recently that any withdrawal of Australian troops from Iraq would have a minimal impact.

The primary involvement of Australia in the middle east at the moment is, arguably, Afghanistan, with the death of a few soldiers there over the past couple of months. PM-elect Rudd and the ALP have consistently highlighted Afghanistan as a key ongoing military commitment, as any withdrawal of forces there could put pressure on the rest of the multilateral forces (with some NATO nations making noises about withdrawing). So I don't think that's going to happen.

Finally, I'd just note that historically speaking the Australian Labor Party has had close bilateral ties with the US since Chifley in WWII, reinforced further under the previous Hawke and Keating Labor governments. The ALP is not automatically hostile to the US by virtue of the fact that they have a left wing. I think the language of the ALP of late regarding the alliance is, to put it in terribly colloquial terms, that when you're mates with each other, you're sort of obliged to let the other know when you think they're doing something that might have dodgy consequences down the track. Not in a lecturing way or anything, but based on a mutual respect of the other's opinions and expertise.

I believe this is a perfectly acceptable position for an Australian government to take. Indeed, it could have benefits for everyone down the track given the links developed with other key regional partners like China, Japan and Indonesia.

Apologies for the long comment - happy to back up any of the statements above with independent third party links if you think it contestable.

Interesting discussion. I think it is premature to assume some huge shift toward a more liberal West based on this result in Australia. With Canada, France and Germany shifting toward the conservatives and Brown in the UK dropping in opinion polls faster than anyone could imagine, the trend of late has been the opposite. In the US, Hillary appears to have the Democratic primaries in hand (despite no votes being cast yet) but polls today suggest she loses in a head to head race against all FIVE of the top Republicans. She has a ton of baggage and Americans in general are tired of Bush's and Clinton's. It is time for some fresh blood in the US (regardless of what party it comes from). It is unhealthy in a democracy for two families to so totally dominate the political scene. If I were a Republican strategist I could not imagine an easier target to tear up than Hillary Clinton.

Bush is often viewed as a divisive figure in the US (and he is) but Clintontonian politics exemplified division throughout his terms. We need someone who can bring the country together (in other words a moderate) with minimal baggage.

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Darkman, I hope so. When I start citing the Psychic Twins I do so with tongue slightly in cheek, though I have to say those two girls have managed some humdingers. But you are right with elections: oftentimes a moderate candidate does capture the public imagination far better than the Bushes and Clintons of this world.

It's always the "vision" of the leader that defines the leader. Moderates in America never accomplished much. A clear vision is necessary for overcoming the lobbying of special interests and bureaucratic self-interest.

Zak - It is true that moderate often are perceived to make incremental improvements as opposed to striking out on a bold new course. If they were true trail blazers they would not be moderates, they would be extremists (though that word is probably more extreme than I mean to imply).

On the other hand, it requires both a new vision AND a clear mandate from the electorate to achieve true dramatic change. In a divided country, it is hard to imagine either party achieving a clear mandate about anything. Thus, in my opinion, it will require alliance building and healing of the schism that the two parties represent to create true progress.

A populist President who is not polarizing in his (or her) politics could create the environment for sweeping change to occur. We have serious problems in this nation that are festering and need to be addressed. Cheap oil is the opiate of the masses. Until that issue is addressed in a comprehensive fashion our nation will be both morally and economically beholden to those that seldom share our goals or our values.

I agree with you that moderates in the end have more success (also, I think the path of moderation is usually the best path--extremes nearly always end up being wrong, in my humble opinion), but I am not sure that the polarizing thing about either of the Clintons is their politics. It seems to me to be much more personal, with the Bill and with the Hillary. Bill was plagued by scandals, but they didn't have much to do with his politics, which were actually fairly moderate (remember, he balanced the budget and signed NAFTA and made some compromises on welfare reform that most liberals never supported). And with Hillary, most of the polarization seems to me to be less about her politics, which are less "liberal" than they are usually portrayed in the press, and more about her personally. I could be wrong, of course, but this is how it seems to me. I live in a really conservative state, and I think it is telling that Obama has more support here than she does, even though he is arguably more liberal, but people here respect him as a person of integrity.

With Dubya, his politics are polarizing, but I think this also has a lot to do with his character. His whole "regular guy, going with my gut, trusting Jesus" persona is highly irritating to a lot of people, and that's less about politics and more about him as a person.

Sorry to get so off topic from the original post.

Oh, and by the way, I'm no one's attorney. Perish the thought.

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Hey, interesting blog mate. I think it's up to Kevin Rudd to decide although he has already said that he will take the Aussie troops from Iraq.
Miss Zel, thanks for the compliment. I think Mr Rudd should keep his word if his policy represents what the Australian people want.
Australia has always had a good, ally relationship with the US. That hasn't changed depending on which party was in government at any particular time.

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Jack Yan

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Jack Yan
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‘I think they’re wonderful. They have so much courage! Here they are, hurling through space on a molten rock at 67,000 miles an hour, and the only thing that keeps them in their shoes is their misplaced faith in gravity.’—John Lithgow as Prof Dick Solomon, in Third Rock from the Sun
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